A packet of envelopes http://femjoy.in.net/ femjoy pics In 2009, I predicted that growth would pick up. I did the same in 2010, 2011 and 2012. And I was not alone â most FOMC participants and many outside analysts shared this overly optimistic view. Undaunted, I make my intrepid forecast: I anticipate growth to average about 2-1/2 percent in the second half of the year and to be in the neighborhood of 3 percent next year. I expect the unemployment rate to be somewhat below 7 percent by the end of 2014.